QA討論：您為什么認(rèn)為印度將成為世界上最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體之一？
Why do you think India will become one of the biggest economies in the world?
譯文簡(jiǎn)介
美知乎討論...
正文翻譯
Subramaniam Duraisamy Follow
I have realised one thing after all this time.
As long as the politician whom I hate remains as the PM , India will be a paper even if it attains $100 trillion GDP and delivers 10% growth rate for 30 years
Note the smiley
Here is the step by step process for India to be considered a developed economy designed by my own standards and alignment with my own ideology
1.The politician whom I hate should not remain the PM.
2.The political party whom I hate should be kicked out of power in all the states and unx Territories of India.
3.India should sign trade treaties with only those foreign nations whom I love.
4.All the legislations and policies which has come up in the past 10 years should be reversed.
5.I will consider India to be a developed economy only by my own yardstick. All the other yardsticks and data used by reputed global organizations are western propaganda
6.All Indians on social media should agree with only my political views.
Once all of these happens, India will be a developed country even if our GDP is $4.99 trillion and our growth rate is only 6%. Because I have achieved what I wanted and am happy
經(jīng)過(guò)這么長(zhǎng)時(shí)間，我意識(shí)到了一件事。
只要我討厭的政客繼續(xù)擔(dān)任總理，印度就算GDP達(dá)到100萬(wàn)億美元，能在30年里保持每年10% 的增長(zhǎng)率，這也只是紙上談兵。
注意笑臉，以下是印度被視為發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體的分步過(guò)程，由我自己的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)和我自己意識(shí)形態(tài)設(shè)計(jì)：
1.我討厭的政客不應(yīng)該繼續(xù)擔(dān)任總理。
2.我討厭的政黨應(yīng)該在印度所有州和邦屬地被趕下臺(tái)。
3.印度應(yīng)該只與我喜歡的外國(guó)簽署貿(mào)易條約。
4.過(guò)去 10 年出臺(tái)的所有立法和政策都應(yīng)該被推翻。
5.我只會(huì)用我自己的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)來(lái)衡量印度是否是一個(gè)發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體。其他所有知名全球組織使用的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)和數(shù)據(jù)都是西方的宣傳。
6.社交媒體上的所有印度人都應(yīng)該只同意我的政治觀點(diǎn)。
一旦這些都實(shí)現(xiàn)，即使我們的GDP為 4.99 萬(wàn)億美元，增長(zhǎng)率只有 6%，印度也會(huì)成為發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家。因?yàn)槲乙呀?jīng)實(shí)現(xiàn)了我的愿望，我為此感到高興。
Kanthaswamy Balasubramaniam Follow
What percentage of the Critical Exports in the Global Trade Market comes from India?
ZIP, ZILCH, NADA
What percentage of Key Exports in the Global Trade Market comes from India?
3.2% (Refined Petroleum Products)
What is Indias share among the Global Capital Markets for raising Capital?
Less than 1% (0.78%)
You can't become one of the biggest economies in the world without significantly improving the above three parameters
Sure you can show paper of $ 30 Trillion or even $ 40 Trillion - but it would all be just a Giant Ponzi Scheme
全球貿(mào)易市場(chǎng)中關(guān)鍵出口產(chǎn)品中印度占比是多少？
幾乎為零。
全球貿(mào)易市場(chǎng)中主要出口產(chǎn)品中印度占比是多少？
3.2%（精煉石油產(chǎn)品）。
印度在全球資本市場(chǎng)中籌集資本的份額是多少？
不到 1%（0.78%）。
如果不顯著改善上述三個(gè)參數(shù)，你就不可能成為世界上最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體之一。
當(dāng)然，你可以出示30萬(wàn)億美元甚至40萬(wàn)億美元的票據(jù) - 但這一切都只是一個(gè)巨大的龐氏騙局。
Today India has an importance in the Global Markets solely because of the 110 Million middle class consumers who together spend $ 1.71 Trillion every year (2023) of which 26% of what they spend is on Foreign Brands and Foreign Products and Services (Around $ 480 Billion a year)
Today India is deemed important solely because Indian Consumers have the potential to spend $ 5 Trillion a year by 2035 of which maybe $ 1 Trillion is spent on foreign products and services
Otherwise India has no core importance to the Global Economy
Of its Top Five Exports - Machines, Gems, Services, Electronic Items & RPP (Refined Petroleum Products) - Four can be dispensed with even for 10 years
Of it's Top Five Imports - Oil, Gas, Gold, Base Materials (Carbon Fiber), Mother Machines - The Deficit in any of these could derail the Indian Economy
如今，印度在全球市場(chǎng)中的重要性完全在于其擁有1.1億中產(chǎn)階級(jí)消費(fèi)者，他們每年 (2023 年) 的支出總額為 1.71 萬(wàn)億美元，其中26%用于購(gòu)買(mǎi)外國(guó)品牌和外國(guó)產(chǎn)品及服務(wù) (每年約 4800億美元)。
如今，印度之所以被認(rèn)為重要，完全在于印度消費(fèi)者到2035年每年的支出潛力為5萬(wàn)億美元，其中 1萬(wàn)億美元可能用于購(gòu)買(mǎi)外國(guó)產(chǎn)品和服務(wù)。
否則，印度對(duì)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)就沒(méi)有核心重要性。
印度五大出口產(chǎn)品 - 機(jī)械、寶石、服務(wù)、電子產(chǎn)品和 RPP (精煉石油產(chǎn)品) - 其中4個(gè)即使 10 年不出口，對(duì)世界也沒(méi)什么影響。
印度五大進(jìn)口產(chǎn)品 - 石油、天然氣、黃金、基礎(chǔ)材料 (碳纖維)、母機(jī) - 任何一項(xiàng)的赤字都可能使印度經(jīng)濟(jì)脫軌。
For India to be be the biggest economy in the world or even among the biggest - India must have :-
At least 10% Critical Exports (0% Today)
At least 10% Key Exports (3.2% Today)
At least 10% Strategic Exports (2.54% Today)
Alternatively India must have
A Global Currency with minimum 15% Reserve usage (We are at 0.14% today)
Alternatively India must have
A Capital Market with a minimum 5% Share when it comes to Raising Capital (Currently 0.78%)
Alternatively India must have
A Strategic Trade route for 40% of Key Exports and Critical Exports (Presently 18%)
印度要想成為世界最大經(jīng)濟(jì)體，甚至躋身世界最大經(jīng)濟(jì)體之列，必須具備以下條件：
至少 10% 的關(guān)鍵出口（目前為 0%）；
至少 10% 的主要出口（目前為 3.2%）；
至少 10% 的戰(zhàn)略出口（目前為 2.54%）。
或者，印度必須擁有一種儲(chǔ)備使用率至少為 15% 的全球貨幣（目前為 0.14%）；
或者，印度必須擁有一個(gè)在籌集資金方面至少占 5% 份額的資本市場(chǎng)（目前為 0.78%）；
或者，印度必須擁有一條覆蓋 40% 的關(guān)鍵出口和主要出口的戰(zhàn)略貿(mào)易路線（目前為 18%）。
Where does India stand?
I rank India 24th in the List of Economies that have a Global Impact
Behind
#1 USA #2 China #3 Russia #4 Japan #5 Germany .........#24 India
Today the World is more worried about Kazakhstan or Turkey than India
印度的排名如何？
我將印度排在具有全球影響力的經(jīng)濟(jì)體名單的第 24 位。
落后于
#1 美國(guó) #2 中國(guó) #3 俄羅斯 #4 日本 #5 德國(guó) .........#24 印度。
如今，世界更擔(dān)心哈薩克斯坦或土耳其，而不是印度
How to change this?
Build a Strategic Free Warm Water Port on the Indian Ocean
Enhance partnership with China immediately and set up 100 Refining units of Nickel, Lithium, Cobalt and Manganese
Be a true and loyal member of BRICS and be part of a Global Grain Exchange instead of fence sitting all the time
Sign a Strategic Trade Partnership with China immediately (Yesterday)
Otherwise India will be a Paper Tiger even with a $ 15 Trillion Economy
That's Guaranteed
如何改變這種狀況？
在印度洋上建設(shè)戰(zhàn)略自由溫水港，
立即加強(qiáng)與中國(guó)的伙伴關(guān)系，建立100個(gè)鎳、鋰、鈷和錳精煉廠，
成為金磚國(guó)家真正的忠誠(chéng)成員，成為全球糧食交易所的一部分，而不是一直保持中立。
立即與中國(guó)簽署戰(zhàn)略貿(mào)易伙伴關(guān)系（像以前）；
否則，即使擁有 15 萬(wàn)億美元的經(jīng)濟(jì)體量，印度也只是一只紙老虎，這是毫無(wú)疑問(wèn)的。
Peter Kaye Follow
India, is definitely one of the biggest economies in the world, India is so much better than China in every respect, just ask any Indian, pity it’s all just in their minds, nothing wrong with being proud, but arrogance is a different kettle of fish. Can be a bit on the nose.
印度絕對(duì)是世界上最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體之一，印度在各方面都比中國(guó)強(qiáng)很多，只要問(wèn)問(wèn)任何一個(gè)印度人，可惜這一切都只是他們自己的想法，驕傲沒(méi)有錯(cuò)，但傲慢就是另一回事了，可能還有點(diǎn)過(guò)分。
Asim Qureshi Follow
India is already one of the biggest economies in the world.
The better question is when will it become the biggest economy in the world?
Right now China is ahead by some way. It’s the world’s factory. But it’s insular and ageing.
India is fast-becoming the world’s technology hub. And, crucially, it’s open, outward thinking, and young.
Industrial, insular, ageing vs technology, open, young?
I reckon India could be there in as little as 30 years, but more likely 40–50.
印度已經(jīng)是世界上最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體之一。
更好的問(wèn)題是，它什么時(shí)候會(huì)成為世界上最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體？
目前，中國(guó)在某種程度上領(lǐng)先。它是世界工廠。但它是封閉的，而且正在老化。
印度正迅速成為世界技術(shù)中心。而且，至關(guān)重要的是，它開(kāi)放、外向，而且年輕。
工業(yè)化、封閉、老化 vs 技術(shù)化、開(kāi)放、年輕？
我認(rèn)為印度可能在短短 30 年內(nèi)達(dá)到這一水平，但更有可能是 40-50 年。
Dinesh Mandal Follow
Undoubtedly, India is already one of the biggest economies in the world. It's vast geographic and proportionally diverse demographic resources make India quite wealthy and prosperous. There is no other country in the world that is comparable to India in terms of national wealth and economic growth inspite of lots of internal problems like poverty, income disparities, social divides, youth unemployment, poor industrial and agricultural growth, gender inequalities, high health costs, corruption, etc. Economists and social scientists should probably research its reasons, and appreciate the successful development of India.
Comparing India with China is like comparing Mexico with America. Indians should better change such comparison mindset, and get rid of inferiority complex. Rather look around and see how Japan, Israel, Germany, Australia, etc. are successful countries of their own distinct interests, character, strengths and weaknesses.
毫無(wú)疑問(wèn)，印度已經(jīng)是世界上最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體之一。其廣闊的地理和比例多樣的人口資源使印度相當(dāng)富裕和繁榮。盡管印度存在許多內(nèi)部問(wèn)題，如貧困、收入差距、社會(huì)分化、青年失業(yè)、工業(yè)和農(nóng)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)緩慢、性別不平等、高昂的醫(yī)療成本、腐敗等，但世界上沒(méi)有其他國(guó)家在國(guó)家財(cái)富和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方面能與印度相提并論。經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家和社會(huì)科學(xué)家應(yīng)該研究其原因，并欣賞印度的成功發(fā)展。
將印度與中國(guó)進(jìn)行比較就像將墨西哥與美國(guó)進(jìn)行比較。印度人最好改變這種比較心態(tài)，擺脫自卑感。環(huán)顧四周，看看日本、以色列、德國(guó)、澳大利亞等國(guó)家是如何成為具有自己獨(dú)特利益、特征、優(yōu)勢(shì)和劣勢(shì)的成功國(guó)家的。
In a complex world's geopolitics, it is difficult to forecast the future of any country. Currently India is a developing country and much behind the benchmark of a Developed Country as per the UN. Like many developing countries, India is in a catch-up mode when it comes to quality education, health, governance, industries, human capital, infrastructures, technologies, social security, diversity inclusion, etc. Situation is really grim when you look at these things at the ground! The whole economic growth and its sustainability depends on how these problems are solved in the next 10 years- no later than that. Economic growth is one story but its sustainability is altogether a different beast to handle to climb up to the league of the Developed Countries! The current economic struggle of China is in the same direction to become a Developed Country.
Forecasting India's economic growth in the next 20–30 years period is quite a hypothetical but worth anticipating idea. In a 20–30 years time, there would be a huge generational change and shift to what we are in now! Ultimately it's the new generation who will make a nation. However, the present mission and vision of the Indian Government can definitely chart a strong foundation and growth trajectory path for the next generation by then.
在復(fù)雜的世界地緣政治中，很難預(yù)測(cè)任何國(guó)家的未來(lái)。目前，印度是一個(gè)發(fā)展中國(guó)家，遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)落后于聯(lián)合國(guó)對(duì)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的基準(zhǔn)。與許多發(fā)展中國(guó)家一樣，印度在優(yōu)質(zhì)教育、衛(wèi)生、治理、工業(yè)、人力資本、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施、技術(shù)、社會(huì)保障、多樣性包容等方面處于追趕模式。當(dāng)你看到這些事情時(shí)，情況真的很?chē)?yán)峻！整個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)及其可持續(xù)性取決于如何在未來(lái) 10 年內(nèi)解決這些問(wèn)題——最遲不超過(guò)這個(gè)時(shí)間。經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是一回事，但其可持續(xù)性則完全是另一回事，要想躋身發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的行列，就必須應(yīng)對(duì)！中國(guó)目前的經(jīng)濟(jì)斗爭(zhēng)方向與成為發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的方向相同。
預(yù)測(cè)印度未來(lái) 20-30 年的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是一個(gè)相當(dāng)假設(shè)但值得期待的想法。在 20-30 年的時(shí)間里，我們將經(jīng)歷巨大的代際變化和轉(zhuǎn)變，與我們現(xiàn)在所處的狀態(tài)不同！最終，新一代將成就國(guó)家。然而，印度政府目前的使命和愿景一定能為下一代奠定堅(jiān)實(shí)的基礎(chǔ)和發(fā)展軌跡。
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Remember india will become number 1 in the world when
1 we will sign RCEP with china
2 gadkari becomes the pm
請(qǐng)記住，只有印度達(dá)成如下兩點(diǎn)：
1 我們將與中國(guó)簽署 RCEP；
2 加德卡里成為總理時(shí)；
印度將成為世界第一。
注：尼汀·加德卡里,，印度道路運(yùn)輸和公路部部長(zhǎng)。
You are What you Do· 9h
When Gadkari becomes PM, they will find new reasons to hate him too. Because policy wise, I don't think Gadkari will be any different from Modi.
當(dāng)加德卡里成為總理時(shí)，他們也會(huì)找到新的理由來(lái)憎恨他。因?yàn)閺恼呱峡?，我認(rèn)為加德卡里和莫迪沒(méi)有什么不同。
Tanishq Chawla· 9h
We have n number of leaders from nitin gadkari to S. Jaishankar.
But this is democracy (people's choice) and people don't love the great. Otherwise u won't find criminals in the parliament.
我們有無(wú)數(shù)位領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人，從尼廷·加德卡里到蘇杰生。
但這是民主（人民的選擇），人民不愛(ài)偉大。否則你不會(huì)在議會(huì)里發(fā)現(xiàn)罪犯。
Raj · 11h
Librandus and Congress supporters cry as if before 2014 , India was a golden bird. Then BJP came and ruined everything.
利布蘭杜斯和國(guó)大黨的支持者們哭訴說(shuō)，2014 年之前，印度是一只金鳥(niǎo)。后來(lái)，人民黨的出現(xiàn)毀掉了一切。
Elankavi Anbazhagan · 10h
Yeah India was well-developed and safe country. But BJP ruined it.
Damn. I remember bomb blasts happening every 6 months. Trains in pathetic conditions. 4–6 hours of power cuts. All before 2014.
But nowadays safety is more or less guaranteed. Trains are shiny (though it is getting worse recently) and power cuts are a rarity in my town ! But BJP is bad :) haha.
是的，印度是一個(gè)發(fā)達(dá)且安全的國(guó)家。但人民黨毀了它。
該死，我記得每 6個(gè)月就會(huì)發(fā)生一次爆炸；火車(chē)狀況很糟糕；每天停電 4-6 小時(shí)。這一切都發(fā)生在 2014 年之前。
但現(xiàn)在安全或多或少是有保障的?；疖?chē)很閃亮（盡管最近情況越來(lái)越糟），停電在我鎮(zhèn)上很少見(jiàn)！但人民黨很糟糕 :) 哈哈。
Pushpendra Kumar· 10h
And Bhakts claim as if India has become better after 2014 on the Ram mandir based testosterone while remaining equally backward and poor
而印度教信徒聲稱，2014 年后，印度在基于羅摩神廟的睪丸激素的幫助下變得更好了，但同時(shí)印度仍然同樣落后和貧窮。
You are What you Do· 9h
Yes, we have become a lot better.
India's GDP has grown with much less inflation, than in UPA era. Infrastructure has improved at far more rapid pace. UPA gave us banks crippled with NPAs. Today, banks are at their healthiest. From banks being put on PCA to stop lending due to high NPAs, we are reached a state of high credit growth.
What is stopping further growth is pending reforms, that are opposed by Congress.
是的，我們已經(jīng)好多了。
與聯(lián)合進(jìn)步聯(lián)盟時(shí)代相比，印度的 GDP 增長(zhǎng)速度要低得多。基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施改善的速度要快得多。聯(lián)合進(jìn)步聯(lián)盟給我們帶來(lái)了因不良資產(chǎn)而陷入困境的銀行。如今，銀行處于最健康的狀態(tài)。從銀行因不良資產(chǎn)高而受到警察投訴管理局處罰，到停止放貸，我們達(dá)到了信貸高增長(zhǎng)的狀態(tài)。
阻礙進(jìn)一步增長(zhǎng)的是國(guó)會(huì)反對(duì)的未決改革。
Zzzzzz· 10h
Andh namazis obviously support the corrupt congress. A decade ago people stood in queue for two hours to book railway ticket , waited at the yellow telephone booth at 10 pm to make STD call at half rates ……..and many many more. One party ruined a country's progress .
印度左翼顯然支持腐敗的國(guó)大黨。十年前，人們排了兩個(gè)小時(shí)的隊(duì)才訂到火車(chē)票，晚上 10 點(diǎn)在黃色電話亭等著以半價(jià)咨詢性傳播感染病.... 還有很多很多。一個(gè)政黨毀了一個(gè)國(guó)家的進(jìn)步。
Krishmunn· 3h
Sanghandus and BJPigs think ILLEGALLY releasing convicted rapists and worshipping them make a shiny India
加爾各答自由黨和印度人民黨的豬玀認(rèn)為非法釋放被定罪的強(qiáng)奸犯并崇拜他們會(huì)讓印度光彩奪目。
Zzzzzz · 3h
One guy married a 6 years old and raped her at 9. His followers now protest .. Ironic
一名男子娶了一名 6 歲女孩，并在她 9 歲時(shí)強(qiáng)奸了她。他的追隨者現(xiàn)在正在抗議......諷刺。
Aswin G· 11h
In odd days India is a thirdworld shit hole country with no achievements and nothing to be proud of.
In even days India should be indebted to congress party for making the country what it is.
在奇數(shù)日里，印度是一個(gè)第三世界糞坑國(guó)家，沒(méi)有任何成就，也沒(méi)有什么值得驕傲的。
在偶數(shù)日里，印度應(yīng)該感謝國(guó)大黨，是他們讓這個(gè)國(guó)家變成了今天這個(gè)樣子。
Prakash Nayak · 11h
Jokes apart, I think 10 trillion dollar Economy is a sure shot way to call India an Upper Middle Economy. Regardless of per Capita GDP metric.
Cause, in PER Capita metric LIBYA is a better place than India.
玩笑歸玩笑，我認(rèn)為 10 萬(wàn)億美元的經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)?？隙梢允沟糜《瘸蔀橹猩系冉?jīng)濟(jì)體。無(wú)論人均 GDP 指標(biāo)如何。
因?yàn)椋慈司笜?biāo)來(lái)看，利比亞都比印度要好。
Aditya Krishnan · 10h
You are letting your political biases get in the way man. Earlier you used to write purely from an economic perspective. I suggest you stick with that.
你的政治偏見(jiàn)阻礙了你。以前你總是從經(jīng)濟(jì)角度寫(xiě)作，我建議你堅(jiān)持這一點(diǎn)。
Subramaniam Duraisamy · 10h
You are right. I should stick to only economic perspective. But you tell me- did it make any difference to me or my detractors?. Or to the voters?.
Nope. The janta loves masala and entertainment more than perspectives. One has to adapt to market needs
你說(shuō)得對(duì)。我應(yīng)該只堅(jiān)持經(jīng)濟(jì)觀點(diǎn)。但你告訴我——這對(duì)我或我的批評(píng)者有什么影響嗎？還是對(duì)選民有什么影響？
沒(méi)有。人民更喜歡馬薩拉和娛樂(lè)，而不是觀點(diǎn)。人們必須適應(yīng)市場(chǎng)需求。
Aditya Krishnan· 8h
It's sad that masala overrules sensible discussion nowadays. I am disillusioned by the finger pointing which has become ubiquitous in Indian politics, and consequently in political discussions. The leftwing- rightwing bickering has become irrelevant. The level of anti-intellectualism in Indian political discourse baffles me.
I might be a leftist and you a right-winger, but we both have the same goals for our country i.e. a developed India where no Indian is left behind. We might not see eye-to-eye on certain issues, and that's fine given that we both are sincere and willing to learn and dissect issues with an open mind. If the politicians can't go beyond the petty finger-pointing, at least we should take it upon ourselves to elevate the political discourse and not view disagreements as belligerence. Or else, we can retreat comfortably into our respective echo chambers and regurgitate propaganda that distracts us from the real systemic and societal issues that plague our nation.
I'm saying all this because I see you as a writer who can elevate the political discourse by presenting obxtive facts. Just my two cents.
如今，馬薩拉壓制了理性的討論，這真是令人遺憾。印度政壇以及政治討論中無(wú)處不在的指責(zé)讓我大失所望。左翼和右翼之間的爭(zhēng)吵已經(jīng)變得無(wú)關(guān)緊要。印度政治話語(yǔ)中的反智主義程度讓我困惑。
我可能是左翼人士，你是右翼人士，但我們對(duì)國(guó)家的目標(biāo)是一樣的，即發(fā)展印度，讓印度人民不被落下。我們可能在某些問(wèn)題上意見(jiàn)不一致，但只要我們真誠(chéng)并愿意以開(kāi)放的心態(tài)學(xué)習(xí)和分析問(wèn)題，這都沒(méi)關(guān)系。如果政客們不能超越這種無(wú)謂的指責(zé)，至少我們應(yīng)該主動(dòng)提升政治話語(yǔ)，而不是將分歧視為好戰(zhàn)。否則，我們就可以輕松地退回到各自的回音室，重新傳播那些分散我們注意力的宣傳，讓我們忽視困擾我們國(guó)家的真正的系統(tǒng)性和社會(huì)問(wèn)題。
我之所以這么說(shuō)，是因?yàn)槲艺J(rèn)為你是一位能夠通過(guò)呈現(xiàn)客觀事實(shí)來(lái)提升政治話語(yǔ)的作家。這只是我的一點(diǎn)看法。
Azrael· 6h
You forgot about nuclear disarmament of India and also military being disarm- no no I mean reduced. Also, taxes shouldn't be redistributed among different states ??.
Other than these points, all the points were definitely accurate.
你忘了印度的核裁軍和軍事裁軍——不，不，我的意思是裁軍。此外，稅收不應(yīng)該在不同的州之間重新分配。
除了這些觀點(diǎn)之外，所有觀點(diǎn)都是絕對(duì)準(zhǔn)確的。
Pushpendra Kumar· 10h
I agree with this. Was sick of this attitude for so long. All the stick given to Congress for so long by the opposition and their supporters was following everything you just said
我同意這一點(diǎn)。我已經(jīng)厭倦了這種態(tài)度很久了。反對(duì)派和他們的支持者長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)對(duì)國(guó)大黨的攻擊都是按照你剛才說(shuō)的
R.Kumar· 7h
Still, these economy metrics are completely useless. Economy is important but not as much as USSR collapse has heightened it to be.
The future of India is to send her children to die in South east asia for America against china after which there will be the fourth battle of Panipat with Muslims.
Whether we have a 10 trillion economy or 3 trillion, it’s completely inconsequential.
然而，這些經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)完全沒(méi)用。經(jīng)濟(jì)很重要，但并不像蘇聯(lián)解體那樣重要。
印度的未來(lái)是讓她的孩子在東南亞為美國(guó)而戰(zhàn)，對(duì)抗中國(guó)，之后將與穆斯林進(jìn)行第四次帕尼帕特之戰(zhàn)。
無(wú)論我們的經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模是 10 萬(wàn)億美元還是 3 萬(wàn)億美元，這都完全無(wú)關(guān)緊要。
Jaisal Bhati· 13h
Ahhahahahah
India will never be a superpower even after 1000 years
哈哈哈哈哈哈，
印度就算過(guò)了1000年也成不了超級(jí)大國(guó)。
Charlie Buffett· 12h
Yes. I guess just making policies as per KBs suggestion will also not do it.
The rule is simple, if you cannot produce a single Steve Jobs or Elon Musk or Nobel Prize winner or Innovators. Then don’t reproduce. You don’t have it in you.
Till the time India pulls the plug on reproduction at all levels of society, India will keep producing sweepers, rag pickers, manual laborers, cart pushers, rickshaw/auto rickshaw pullers, sugar cane juice sellers, paan beedi shops, Tyre puncture repair, Gas/petrol fillers, beggars. All useless jobs. Absolutely worthless burden on a nation. All this manual labor could be replaced by machines.
And why so much manual labor? Greed for multiple children especially male child (superstitions and voodoo tribal thinking) and accidental births. Root cause of all evil in India.
是的。我猜，僅僅按照智囊?guī)斓慕ㄗh制定政策也行不通。
規(guī)則很簡(jiǎn)單，如果你不能培養(yǎng)出一個(gè)史蒂夫·喬布斯、伊隆·馬斯克、諾貝爾獎(jiǎng)得主或創(chuàng)新者。那就不要生育，你沒(méi)有這個(gè)能力。
直到印度社會(huì)各階層都停止生育之前，印度將繼續(xù)生產(chǎn)清潔工、拾荒者、體力勞動(dòng)者、推車(chē)人、人力車(chē)/自動(dòng)人力車(chē)夫、甘蔗汁銷(xiāo)售商、檳榔煙店主、輪胎穿孔修理工、加油站/汽油加注員、乞丐。這都是無(wú)用的工作，對(duì)一個(gè)國(guó)家來(lái)說(shuō)是絕對(duì)毫無(wú)價(jià)值的負(fù)擔(dān)。所有這些體力勞動(dòng)都可以被機(jī)器取代。
為什么要這么多體力勞動(dòng)？貪多生孩子，尤其是男孩（迷信和巫毒部落思想）和意外出生。印度所有罪惡的根源。
Sathyaswamy S · 10h
Population control is a must. I'm damn sure that India will face resource shortages as the popultion expands.
人口控制是必須的。我確信隨著人口增長(zhǎng)，印度將面臨資源短缺。
Jaisal Bhati · 5h
Gas chamber nazi style
納粹毒氣室可以作為解決方案。
Charlie Buffett· 1h
Absolutely now except gas chamber there is no other solution. Had they accepted the formula of Sanjay Gandhi and let the emergency run for 5 more years then there would be no need of Gas chambers. India would be competing with China instead of blowing up taxes on keeping these worthless cockroaches alive (who ultimately end up becoming lawless goons).
So alas now it’s time for gas chambers
現(xiàn)在除了毒氣室之外，絕對(duì)沒(méi)有其他解決方案。如果他們接受了桑賈伊·甘地的方案，讓緊急狀態(tài)再持續(xù) 5 年，那么就不需要毒氣室了。印度將與中國(guó)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)，而不是通過(guò)征收稅款來(lái)讓這些毫無(wú)價(jià)值的蟑螂活下去（他們最終會(huì)成為無(wú)法無(wú)天的暴徒）。
唉，現(xiàn)在是使用毒氣室的時(shí)候了。
Philip L· 4h
Yet I heard from Indian Americans that India was already a superpower and had the largest middle income consumers in the world back in the mid 1990s.
然而，我從印度裔美國(guó)人那里聽(tīng)說(shuō)，早在20世紀(jì)90年代中期，印度就已經(jīng)是一個(gè)超級(jí)大國(guó)了，擁有世界上最大的中等收入消費(fèi)者。
Santhosh Krishn · 1h
yes because india will be a HYPER power LOL
是的，因?yàn)橛《葧?huì)成為一個(gè)超級(jí)大國(guó)，哈哈。
Venkata Krishna · 12h
A brilliant essay. We are even behind African countries like Egypt.
一篇精彩的文章。我們甚至落后于埃及等非洲國(guó)家。
Sathyaswamy S · 9h
India can also be called a social media superpower considering the number of blind Indian nationalists making clickbait videos on how India will become a superpower and such. However, they are actually quite entertaining to watch.
鑒于盲目的印度民族主義者制作的關(guān)于印度如何成為超級(jí)大國(guó)等標(biāo)題黨視頻數(shù)量之多，印度也可以被稱為社交媒體超級(jí)大國(guó)。不過(guò)，這些視頻實(shí)際上相當(dāng)有趣。
Santhosh Krishna · 6h
LOL much better than anti-india trolls who make illogical claims like you quite entertaining to watch you cope on indias space success
哈哈，比你這些發(fā)表不合邏輯言論的反印度巨魔好多了，看你如何應(yīng)對(duì)印度的太空成功真是有趣。
Stinging Atheist· 12h
No mention of drinking water !!! How long can we sustain with one failed monsoon ?? Every year the threat of droughts loom over India. All your schemes will fall in place only if basic existence is guaranteed. You must have seen people of Bengaluru lining up for water.
沒(méi)有提到飲用水?。?！一次失敗的季風(fēng)應(yīng)對(duì)能我們能撐多久？每年干旱的威脅都籠罩著印度。只有基本生存得到保障，你的所有計(jì)劃才會(huì)成功。你一定見(jiàn)過(guò)班加羅爾的人們排隊(duì)取水的畫(huà)面。
Unknown X· 11h
KB sir, you are to Quora what Samdish Bhatia is to Youtube.
You expose the dark side of India’s economy while he exposes the dark side of India’s society.
Keep up the good work sir.
Never stop criticising India, we know we are a million miles away from being even a liveable nation.
There are 1000s of people who will show the rosy stuff but a bare few like you, Samdish, Dhruv Rathee etc who can show the living reality of the country.
Mad Respect for you
KB 先生，你之于 Quora 就像 Samdish Bhatia 之于 Youtube。
你揭露了印度經(jīng)濟(jì)的陰暗面，而他揭露了印度社會(huì)的陰暗面。
先生，繼續(xù)努力。
永遠(yuǎn)不要停止批評(píng)印度，我們知道我們距離成為一個(gè)宜居國(guó)家還有一百萬(wàn)英里的距離。
有成千上萬(wàn)的人會(huì)展示美好的事物，但像你、Samdish、Dhruv Rathee 等這樣的少數(shù)人可以展示這個(gè)國(guó)家活生生的現(xiàn)實(shí)。
非常尊重你。
Glenn Lee · 12h
For India to have a per capita GDP of US in 2022, India would need a GDP of 98 trillion dollars.
如果印度要在2022年實(shí)現(xiàn)人均GDP與美國(guó)相當(dāng)，那么其GDP就需要達(dá)到98萬(wàn)億美元。
Subra Iyer· 12h
you think India is behind even Egypt?
你認(rèn)為印度甚至落后于埃及嗎？
Kanthaswamy Balasubramaniam· 12h
Not exactly
India won't impact the globe as much as Egypt
If Egypt collapses - the Suez would be critically affected and that's a large chunk of Global Trade
Same for Turkey (Bosphorus)
The Question talks of Biggest Economies in the world and it means more Impact than Number
不完全是，印度對(duì)全球的影響不會(huì)像埃及那么大。
如果埃及崩潰，蘇伊士運(yùn)河將受到嚴(yán)重影響，而這將影響全球貿(mào)易的很大一部分。
土耳其（博斯普魯斯海峽）也是如此，
這個(gè)問(wèn)題談到了世界上最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體，這意味著影響比數(shù)字更重要。
Siva Kumar· 12h
Spot on sir! Id be watching how ussr ( soviet unx broke ), if it didnt cease to exist if they adapt Chinese model of economic market policy in late 80s. Wish badly usa ll be collapse of its former self as economic giant soon.
先生說(shuō)得對(duì)！如果蘇聯(lián)在 80 年代末采用中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)市場(chǎng)政策模式，它不會(huì)不復(fù)存在，我會(huì)觀察蘇聯(lián)是如何解體的。真希望美國(guó)早日失去昔日的經(jīng)濟(jì)巨人地位。
Skyhigh· 11h
The only thing the rest of the world cares is the rich population (which is still very low considering total population) who can buy the foreign consumer products. Cash cow precisely, to take more Indian money abroad. Nothing else.
其他國(guó)家唯一關(guān)心的是那些可以購(gòu)買(mǎi)外國(guó)消費(fèi)品的富裕人口（相對(duì)于總?cè)丝诙?，富裕人口的比例仍然很低）。?zhǔn)確地說(shuō)，他們是搖錢(qián)樹(shù)，可以讓更多的印度資金流向國(guó)外。沒(méi)有別的了。
Sathyaswamy · 10h
Indian logic: We will become a superpower with colonial age laws, institutions, systems and mindset along with Western wokeism, Russian oligarchism, Chinese labor laws, Latin American crime rates, Iranian religious fanaticism and European taxes for Sub Saharan infrastructure and amenities. Don't forget cesspit democracy either.
印度邏輯：我們將成為一個(gè)超級(jí)大國(guó)，擁有殖民時(shí)代的法律、機(jī)構(gòu)、制度和思維方式，同時(shí)擁有西方覺(jué)醒主義、俄羅斯寡頭政治、中國(guó)勞動(dòng)法、拉丁美洲犯罪率、伊朗宗教狂熱和歐洲對(duì)撒哈拉以南基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施和便利設(shè)施征收的稅。別忘了還有糞坑民主。
Santhosh Krishna · 6h
C logic:- WE WILL become super powers despite commiting an population blunder due to our history
pakistani logic;-god will protect us
western logic;- make wrong claims of having nuclear weapons in enemy territory gain support of the world invade said country and destroy it
C邏輯：- 盡管我們?cè)跉v史上犯了人口政策的大錯(cuò)，但我們?nèi)詫⒊蔀槌?jí)大國(guó)。
巴基斯坦邏輯；- 上帝會(huì)保佑我們。
西方邏輯；- 錯(cuò)誤地聲稱敵方領(lǐng)土上有核武器，獲得世界支持，入侵該國(guó)并摧毀它。
Epstein Lance · 4h
There’s no such Chinese logic. Their population control policies created the wealthiest society ever in all of human history and in shortest possible time. There is no hope that such a national economic rejuvenation story will ever be repeated again and on that scale.
中國(guó)沒(méi)有這樣的邏輯。他們的人口控制政策在最短的時(shí)間內(nèi)創(chuàng)造了人類(lèi)歷史上最富裕的社會(huì)。這樣的國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)興故事不可能再重演，而且規(guī)模不可能如此之大。
Santhosh Krishna · 2h
LMao you truly believe china is the richest LOL to be honest there are many such stories both in empires and modern state building the Chinese didn’t become the richest and are not the wealthiest society your average american and european has more GDP then china. it’s impressive growth but to say it was the greatest achievment is exageration. china already had the potential and territory to become a power what’s even more impressive was that backwater europe somehow became the most dominant within 100 years during the rennaisance and simultaneously defeated all asian powers
哈哈哈，你真的相信中國(guó)是最富有的，哈哈，說(shuō)實(shí)話，無(wú)論是在帝國(guó)還是在現(xiàn)代國(guó)家建設(shè)中，都有許多這樣的故事，中國(guó)人并沒(méi)有成為最富有的國(guó)家，也不是最富裕的社會(huì)，普通美國(guó)人和歐洲人的 GDP 比中國(guó)人更多。這是令人印象深刻的增長(zhǎng)，但說(shuō)這是最偉大的成就則是夸張。中國(guó)已經(jīng)具備了成為強(qiáng)國(guó)的潛力和領(lǐng)土，更令人印象深刻的是，在文藝復(fù)興時(shí)期，落后的歐洲不知何故在 100 年內(nèi)成為了世界上最主要的國(guó)家，同時(shí)擊敗了所有亞洲強(qiáng)國(guó)。
Charlie Buffett· 1h
China is the greatest achievement ever. The biggest miracle. US, UK, Australia, Europe are not a miracle because they looted half the world’s wealth and then became developed.
But China never looted any country, it was a third world country worse than India, yet by sheer hard work, control, discipline and laws became a developed country.
A thousand salutes to China !! The only self made developed country in the world.
To a certain extent Japan is also. But Japan became a US lackey after world war, so it cannot be counted
中國(guó)是有史以來(lái)最偉大的成就，最大的奇跡。美國(guó)、英國(guó)、澳大利亞、歐洲不是奇跡，因?yàn)樗麄兟訆Z了世界一半的財(cái)富，然后才發(fā)展起來(lái)。
但中國(guó)從未掠奪過(guò)任何國(guó)家，它是一個(gè)比印度更糟糕的第三世界國(guó)家，但憑借著艱苦努力、控制、紀(jì)律和法律，成為了一個(gè)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家。
向中國(guó)致敬！！世界上唯一一個(gè)白手起家的發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家。
在某種程度上，日本也是。但日本在二戰(zhàn)后成了美國(guó)的走狗，所以不能算數(shù)。
Santhosh Krishna· 1h
and looting half of the world needed military power and money to govern said world spain, portugal, UK,FRANCE, DUTCH and USA where all hisrtorically weak or got butchered by the muslim caliphs until the age of discovery making the discovery of america and colonizing it and making profits out of them was one of the most immpressive feats that has changed human history forever. this doesn’t mean I support GENOCIDE I simply stated facts you don’t simply defeat the largest army with only 100 casualties which the british raj generals did during the opium wars
掠奪世界一半的土地需要軍事力量和金錢(qián)來(lái)統(tǒng)治。西班牙、葡萄牙、英國(guó)、法國(guó)、荷蘭和美國(guó)，這些國(guó)家在歷史上都很弱小，或者被穆斯林哈里發(fā)屠殺，直到大發(fā)現(xiàn)時(shí)代，發(fā)現(xiàn)美洲、殖民美洲并從中獲利，這是改變?nèi)祟?lèi)歷史的最令人印象深刻的壯舉之一。這并不意味著我支持種族滅絕，我只是陳述事實(shí)，你不能像鴉片戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)期間英國(guó)拉吉將軍那樣，僅以 100 人的傷亡擊敗最大規(guī)模的軍隊(duì)。
Gooloo Ggg· 11h
Expats & labor can be one of India key exports, inbound remittances 2023 total $125 billion making India No 1 in the world…
外籍人士和勞工可能是印度的主要出口產(chǎn)品之一，2023 年入境匯款總額達(dá)到 1250 億美元，使印度成為世界第一...
Charlie Buffett· 1h
Nobody is willing to accept the unhygienic, ill mannered, uncivilized illiterate worthless labor? Israel had to accept because they were in a do a die situation. Else they would have never accepted Indian labor.
沒(méi)人愿意接受這種不衛(wèi)生、不禮貌、不文明、文盲、毫無(wú)價(jià)值的勞工嗎？以色列不得不接受，因?yàn)樗麄兲幱谏镭P(guān)的境地。否則他們永遠(yuǎn)不會(huì)接受印度勞工。
Bishwajeet Narayan Deb · 5h
Sir, no point giving these data. The stupid Bhakts believe what Modi says - 4th largest economy and they start dancing. Again they believed when Modi said that the last ten years were just trailers, the main picture would be shown in his 3rd term. The population of his Bhakt is phenomenal, these blind people decide the fate of the election. Though people of UP proved that they are no blind.
先生，提供這些數(shù)據(jù)毫無(wú)意義。愚蠢的信徒們相信莫迪說(shuō)的話——世界第四大經(jīng)濟(jì)體，然后他們開(kāi)始跳舞。他們?cè)俅蜗嘈拍险f(shuō)的過(guò)去十年只是預(yù)告片，主要畫(huà)面將在他的第三任期內(nèi)展現(xiàn)出來(lái)。他的信徒人數(shù)驚人，這些盲人決定了選舉的命運(yùn)。盡管北方邦的人們證明他們不是盲人。
Charlie Buffett · 1h
Politically you are correct. But even Kejriwal or brightest leader in Congress also cannot do anything. Because India is one hell of a cesspit full of 80% rabble. Illiterate duffers lawless uncivilized dishonest, goons and corrupt to the core. Impossible to control them with appeasement democracy
Only way is the China style police, Cameras and strong laws and courts and purging of such lawless dishonest thief rabble, which is impossible in India.
So as one gentlemen above has suggested only Gas chambers is the solution.
從政治角度來(lái)說(shuō)你是對(duì)的。但即使是凱杰里瓦爾或國(guó)大黨最聰明的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人也無(wú)能為力。因?yàn)橛《仁且粋€(gè)充滿 80% 烏合之眾的糞坑，充斥著文盲、笨蛋、無(wú)法無(wú)天、不文明、不誠(chéng)實(shí)、暴徒和徹頭徹尾的腐敗分子，不可能用綏靖民主來(lái)控制他們。
唯一的辦法是中國(guó)式的警察、攝像頭、強(qiáng)有力的法律和法庭，然后清除這些無(wú)法無(wú)天、不誠(chéng)實(shí)、小偷烏合之眾，這在印度是不可能的。
所以正如上面一位先生所說(shuō)的，只有毒氣室才是最終的解決辦法。