失業(yè)率上升:印度正走向?yàn)?zāi)難?
Unemployment Rising: India Heading for a Disaster?
譯文簡(jiǎn)介
網(wǎng)友:政府這十年愣是沒干出啥拿得出手的大事兒,現(xiàn)在還能指望他們翻出啥花樣?失業(yè)率高得像火箭沖天,通貨膨脹更是像脫韁的野馬,壓得人喘不過(guò)氣。少數(shù)人坐擁金山銀山,富得流油,普通人卻只能望洋興嘆。工作和錢?
正文翻譯
失業(yè)率上升:印度正走向?yàn)?zāi)難?
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@arindamghosh_addie
Government 10 saal mein kuch utna kar nahi paaye to ab kya karege aur itne unemployment hai par inflation are on higher side. Few people are enjoying their immense wealth. Jobs & money both are on YouTube & Insta??. People who got successful as Insta Influencers are mostly women. Politicians doing politics on each & every thing. Totally messed up situation.
Govt isn’t fulling the vacancy in central govt jobs but wants the pvt sector to hire more & more people. Levying taxes on everything.
政府這十年愣是沒干出啥拿得出手的大事兒,現(xiàn)在還能指望他們翻出啥花樣?失業(yè)率高得像火箭沖天,通貨膨脹更是像脫韁的野馬,壓得人喘不過(guò)氣。少數(shù)人坐擁金山銀山,富得流油,普通人卻只能望洋興嘆。工作和錢?全跑去YouTube和Insta上了,笑死了。那些在Insta上混成大網(wǎng)紅的,十有八九是女的。政客們雞毛蒜皮的事兒都拿來(lái)搞政治博眼球,整個(gè)局面亂得像一鍋爛粥。
政府連中央公職的空缺都不填滿,卻死命催私企多招人,招招招!還啥玩意兒都征稅,稅負(fù)重得讓人想哭。
@sankkham
No one is accepting unemployment’s main reason is overpopulation done by up/bihari bhaiyyas. Mumbai fertility rate is 1.4 and Maharashtra is 1.6. bt Mumbai is overpopulated due to increase slums. And 83% slum population don’t have voting rights for Maharashtra or Mumbai. bhaiyyas coming and increasing population and making labour cheap. And then blaming Muslims.
沒人愿意正視失業(yè)的最大元兇——北方邦和比哈爾的兄弟們把人口撐得爆棚。孟買的生育率才1.4,馬哈拉施特拉邦也才1.6,可孟買硬生生被貧民窟的瘋漲人口擠得水泄不通。83%的貧民窟居民連馬哈拉施特拉或孟買的投票權(quán)都沒有,活得像個(gè)隱形人。這些兄弟們蜂擁而至,人口暴增,把勞動(dòng)力價(jià)格壓得低到塵埃里,干活跟白干似的。結(jié)果呢?他們還把鍋甩給穆斯林,甩得理直氣壯,真是好一出大戲!
@deepak.shah114
Pehle mai bolta tha ki jobs to hain logo mai skills nahi hain but I was partially wrong. Jobs nahi hain ab mujhe pta chal jab mujh pe khud pe beet rahi hai.
I am a software developer 2 years back but till now not able to find a job because jobs hi nahi hain.
But govt won’t help for unemployed guys like me. Inhe bas tax chahiye
以前我總?cè)氯氯抡f(shuō)工作多得是,怪就怪人沒技能,可我錯(cuò)了一半,錯(cuò)得離譜!現(xiàn)在我才門兒清,根本是壓根沒有工作,自己吃了這虧才醒悟過(guò)來(lái)。
兩年前我還是個(gè)軟件開發(fā)者,風(fēng)光得很,可如今連個(gè)活兒都撈不著,因?yàn)槭袌?chǎng)上壓根沒啥工作機(jī)會(huì)。
政府?別指望他們搭理我這種失業(yè)的落魄漢,他們眼里只有稅金,稅金,還是稅金!
@Ficonomy
In addition to the problem described by Prasad, Under-employment and disguised employment are 2 big issues confronting the Indian economy. The govt should prioritise improving skills and bring in labour reforms that facilitates the job creation. The Indian subcontinent is visibly unstable now with many countries not leveraging their true potential like Bangladesh in textiles and Srilanka in tourism. We should capitalise this opportunity to utilise our demographic dividend otherwise within the next 20-25 years we will be stuck in a middle income trap economy.
除了Prasad點(diǎn)出的那些麻煩事兒,隱性失業(yè)和變相就業(yè)像兩座大山,死死壓在印度經(jīng)濟(jì)上。政府得把提升技能擺在頭等大事,推出一系列硬核的勞動(dòng)改革,為就業(yè)創(chuàng)造鋪好路。現(xiàn)在印度次大陸亂得像一盤散沙,鄰國(guó)還在浪費(fèi)大好機(jī)會(huì)——孟加拉國(guó)的紡織業(yè)半死不活,斯里蘭卡的旅游業(yè)也沒有起色。我們得趕緊抓住這天賜良機(jī),充分利用人口紅利這張王牌,不然再過(guò)20-25年,印度就得卡在中等收入陷阱里進(jìn)不得退不得,苦不堪言。
@Malkinnnn
Government needs to work on the Demographic Profile of the country. Strict reforms are required. Resources are limited, after one point they will not be sufficient for all.
政府得好好研究國(guó)家的人口結(jié)構(gòu),拿出點(diǎn)真功夫來(lái)。得來(lái)硬的改革,資源就那么點(diǎn),到了臨界點(diǎn),誰(shuí)都別想分到一口飯。
@Loveandlight428
The main problem is not AI but actually the gruesome taxation structure in India. Although the govt will say “make in India” to create hype, you can’t make or sell anything in India without the tax burden.
真正的病根不是人工智能,而是印度那喪心病狂的稅收結(jié)構(gòu),簡(jiǎn)直就像吸血鬼。政府嘴上喊著“印度制造”,造勢(shì)造得熱火朝天,可你不背上沉甸甸的稅負(fù),在印度啥也造不了、賣不了。
@shahinchoudhury8256
I’m someone who tries to remain optimistic in all situations, but i am certain india will never become like china ito growth & prosperity.
for one reason, in china most profitable & thriving companies are actually government owned.
Either banks, construction firms, airlines or telecom.
In india, government is so inefficient ( systematic corruption) & ill-governance at state & local levels,
also china has a meritocratic system,
if mayor of a small town does good work, he’s made mayor of a bigger one, & so on.
so is in japan, Japan’s economic rise has this common theme with china.
Government induced development.
Indian development is despite the government.
我這人不管啥情況都試著往好處想,可我敢打包票,印度在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和繁榮上永遠(yuǎn)追不上中國(guó)。
為啥?中國(guó)最賺錢、最牛氣沖天的公司都是國(guó)有的,銀行、建筑、航空、電信,哪行不是國(guó)字號(hào)頂著?
反觀印度,政府效率低得像烏龜爬,系統(tǒng)性腐敗像毒瘤扎根,邦和地方治理更是烏煙瘴氣,一團(tuán)糟。
中國(guó)還有個(gè)精英選拔機(jī)制,小鎮(zhèn)市長(zhǎng)干得漂亮,就升到大城市當(dāng)市長(zhǎng),步步高升,賞罰分明。
日本也一樣,他們的經(jīng)濟(jì)騰飛跟中國(guó)有一個(gè)共同點(diǎn)——政府當(dāng)推手,驅(qū)動(dòng)發(fā)展。
印度的進(jìn)步?全是在政府拖后腿的情況下硬生生擠出來(lái)的血淚成果。
@blissfulmorsel
Blaming the education system every time is not worth it. There are people who have become globally successful through the same education system. We need to change our mindset. People are living in ignorance, prioritizing festivals and celebrations over learning skills. If you check on YouTube, there are so many skill-based videos, but people are more interested in semi-nude and roasting videos. People can learn skills by getting out of their comfort zones, but nobody cares.
老把鍋甩給教育系統(tǒng)沒啥意思,純屬浪費(fèi)口舌。同樣這套系統(tǒng),有人硬是混成了全球頂尖牛人,風(fēng)光無(wú)限。我們得換換腦子,改改思維。人們活在無(wú)知里,節(jié)日慶典比學(xué)真本事還重要,熱鬧得跟過(guò)年似的。打開YouTube,技能教學(xué)視頻多得像海水,可大家偏愛看那些半裸的、吐槽的破玩意兒,腦子進(jìn)水了?走出舒適區(qū)就能學(xué)到真本事,可誰(shuí)在乎?。?br />
@arghyamaji2489
If you see only rural unemployment rate has increased from 6.3% in May to 9.3% in June. So don’t worry, It will come down eventually after good monsoon.
瞅瞅,農(nóng)村失業(yè)率從5月的6.3%猛竄到6月的9.3%,嚇人吧?不過(guò)別慌,好季風(fēng)雨一來(lái),準(zhǔn)能降下來(lái),穩(wěn)住別浪。
@abhisheksaha6084
Well said brother.
I moved from Horticulture academics to insurance sector.
Now have knowledge of both sector and became professional horticulturist, insurance actuary and Landscape architecture.
I understood about the jobless growth back in 2021.
說(shuō)得太對(duì)了,兄弟,句句扎心!
我從園藝學(xué)術(shù)圈跳槽到了保險(xiǎn)行業(yè)。
現(xiàn)在兩行都門兒清,我成了專業(yè)園藝師、保險(xiǎn)精算師,還順手搞了景觀建筑,樣樣拿得出手。
早在2021年,我就看透了啥叫“無(wú)就業(yè)增長(zhǎng)”。
@Immazine
There are many jobs, the problem is with current youth who are only interested in salary figure & not on future//learning - i m looking for freshers frm past 1 year in my company but candidates whom i interviewed wants to work on their own conditions
工作多得跟山似的,機(jī)會(huì)滿地跑,問(wèn)題是現(xiàn)在年輕人眼里只有薪水那幾個(gè)數(shù)字,未來(lái)?學(xué)習(xí)?他們壓根不關(guān)心!我在公司過(guò)去一年招新人,面試的候選人個(gè)個(gè)想按自己的條件干活,挑三揀四,咋不上天呢?
@kashfaq322
Jaise phone me yearly upxes aate hai education ke syllabus me bhi ek upxes sysytem hone chahiya yearly. Subject topic should be approved of that that that subject expert professionally. Praticle done in school n college should be on present days problems
就像手機(jī)每年推系統(tǒng)更新,教育大綱也得一年一更,跟上時(shí)代才行。學(xué)科內(nèi)容得由專業(yè)領(lǐng)域的專家把關(guān),嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)審核。學(xué)校和大學(xué)的實(shí)踐課得直面當(dāng)下的真問(wèn)題,接地氣,解決實(shí)際痛點(diǎn)。
@swapnilwakale4173
Guys if anyone is reading this comment, then try for opting ITI cources such as welder, fitter, mechanic as it will not get impacted by improvement as every nation required this kind skilled force.
Yes but get training from some of the best institute in india or abroad for this skills.
兄弟們,誰(shuí)看到這條評(píng)論,趕緊考慮報(bào)工業(yè)培訓(xùn)學(xué)院(ITI)的課程,學(xué)點(diǎn)焊工、裝配工、機(jī)械工啥的真本事。這些活兒再怎么技術(shù)進(jìn)步也淘汰不了,哪個(gè)國(guó)家都缺不了這號(hào)硬核技能人才。
不過(guò),得挑印度或國(guó)外頂尖的機(jī)構(gòu)去學(xué),練出真功夫才吃得開。
@sago22
Two major problem with youth today
Not upskilling through own effort. Relying too much on college education. No real life knowledge.
Over valuation of own human labour. Once I came across this young intern just out of college asking for a stipend way above average. On asking where you got this figure he answered ‘from google’. So there is clear gap between industry and education.
現(xiàn)在年輕人有兩大毛病,扎心得很:
不靠自己努力學(xué)新技能,抱著大學(xué)教育當(dāng)救命稻草,現(xiàn)實(shí)生活知識(shí)?一抹黑!
高估自己那點(diǎn)勞動(dòng)力值錢。一次我碰到個(gè)剛畢業(yè)的實(shí)習(xí)生,張口要遠(yuǎn)超平均的補(bǔ)貼,我問(wèn)他這數(shù)字哪來(lái)的,他淡定地說(shuō)“谷歌上查的”,我差點(diǎn)沒笑噴! 所以,產(chǎn)業(yè)和教育之間那條鴻溝寬得能跑火車了。
@ivanwolf5610
Microsoft used to have a Certificate program; anyone can use MS office suit can get a MS Certificate as an IT expert. Recall an 8 year old Indian girl got the Certificate, was hailed as a genius, that’s how Indian IT education worked, still is
微軟以前搞了個(gè)認(rèn)證項(xiàng)目,會(huì)用MS Office就能拿個(gè)IT專家證書,簡(jiǎn)單得離譜。我記得有個(gè)8歲的印度女孩拿了證,被吹成天才,全國(guó)轟動(dòng)。這就是印度IT教育的套路,糊弄人,現(xiàn)在還是這幅德行。
@zxtube56
India: We are vishwaguru & we are comparing to Pakistan not china but our real competitor is china!
印度:我們自封“世界導(dǎo)師”,拿自己跟巴基斯坦比,咋不跟中國(guó)比?咱真正的對(duì)手明明是中國(guó)!
@cricketlover.....
You cant stop ai and you shouldnt instead we should focus on implementation of universal basic income concept and we should discuss this more instead of stopping ai.
人工智能擋不住,也不該擋,攔它干啥?咱得把心思放落實(shí)全民基本收入這個(gè)概念上,多討論這事兒,別老想著給AI踩剎車。
@P_RanjanDas
Modi government must focus on textile garment industry and meat leather manufacturing
India is shifting so fast to semi conductor solar panel etc futuristic industries
But for initial development and job creation we first need textile
莫迪政府得把重心放紡織服裝和肉類皮革制造上,踏踏實(shí)實(shí)干點(diǎn)接地氣的。
印度現(xiàn)在轉(zhuǎn)得太快,半導(dǎo)體、太陽(yáng)能板這些高科技未來(lái)產(chǎn)業(yè)搞得熱火朝天,
可要說(shuō)初期發(fā)展和就業(yè)創(chuàng)造,紡織業(yè)才是當(dāng)務(wù)之急。
@M_Ahuja
Taxation system of india is ruthless and complex. Middle class can’t escape it’s clutches but rich can easily as they can hire best of CA. Taxation/banking/invesment fundamentals and basic skills of survival are not taught in school. They keep teaching literature till 12th grade. Kids are unnecessarily pressurized. Now a days even kids understand that this kind of education won’t come to any use for them. Gov need to seriously think about it.
印度的稅收系統(tǒng)又狠又亂,復(fù)雜得像座迷宮。中產(chǎn)階級(jí)被死死套牢,逃都逃不掉,富人卻輕松溜號(hào),雇個(gè)頂尖會(huì)計(jì)師就擺平了。稅收、銀行、投資的基礎(chǔ)知識(shí),生存的硬核技能,學(xué)校壓根不教,啥用沒有。文學(xué)課硬教到12年級(jí),孩子被逼得喘不過(guò)氣,壓力山大?,F(xiàn)在連小學(xué)生都看透了,這種教育沒啥用。政府得好好動(dòng)腦子想想這問(wèn)題!
@vishnurajbhar007
The skills needed for jobs has changed drastically in a very short span of time, specially after the arrival of ChatGPT. And most of our youth is unemployable to be honest. They just enroll for a graduation program and after passing it, they think they are job ready. Passing that exam has zero value if you don’t have skills to show. Lot of youth is actually directionless and clueless, everybody wants government job because most of them don’t require any specific skillset and also people see them as a safe option. But what people do not understand is that government cannot create too many government jobs just to give you salary. There are already lacs of crore being invested just to give job to people, although those job does not create much value for example government teachers of primary school or higher school, a lot of railway employees. We need more wealth creators, who can generate more wealth for this country. No government can help you if all you do is crying for help instead of acquiring skillset.
工作要的技能短時(shí)間里翻天覆地變了,尤其ChatGPT橫空出世后,簡(jiǎn)直是改天換地。老實(shí)說(shuō),咱們大多數(shù)年輕人壓根沒有就業(yè)能力。他們報(bào)個(gè)本科,考過(guò)試就覺得自己能上崗,牛氣沖天。沒有真本事,通過(guò)考試屁用沒有!不少年輕人沒有方向,懵圈得像無(wú)頭蒼蠅,人人都盯著政府工作,因?yàn)槟腔顑捍蠖嗖惶艏寄?,還被當(dāng)鐵飯碗,穩(wěn)得跟啥似的。可沒有人醒悟,政府不能光為發(fā)工資造一堆公職,那不是長(zhǎng)久之計(jì)。政府已經(jīng)砸了幾十億搞就業(yè),可那些活兒沒啥大價(jià)值,比如小學(xué)或高中的公辦老師、一大群鐵路員工,干著干著就成擺設(shè)了。我們得要更多財(cái)富創(chuàng)造者,給國(guó)家多掙點(diǎn)真金白銀。你光哭天喊地求救,不肯學(xué)點(diǎn)硬核技能,哪個(gè)政府也救不了你!
@mukulmisra7594
Solution: mera solution drastic change employement me lana hai. Agar Sarkaari naukari ki opening hoti hai, phir bhale he woh Chaprasi ki job ho, usme PHD wale log bhi apply kartey hain. Same time if kisi Private company ki opening hoti hai usme 10 log he apply kartey hain.
Govt can change this, By Converting all JOBs to Sarkaari job (even Private jobs can be Sarkaari job, just that Hiring will be done centrally by Govt. if a company is finding PHD person is not good, they can refer back to govt .and govt can re deploy that person in another company)
解決方案:我有個(gè)大膽的點(diǎn)子,得徹底顛覆就業(yè)這攤子事兒。只要政府工作一開招,哪怕是看門人的破活兒,博士都削尖腦袋往里鉆!反過(guò)來(lái),私企放出一個(gè)崗位,十個(gè)人都湊不齊。
政府能改這亂象嗎?把所有工作都變成政府工作,私企的活兒也算政府工作,招聘全由政府統(tǒng)一管。公司覺得博士不給力?直接退貨給政府,政府再把人塞到別的公司,這樣靈活得很。
@RanjanSingh-pk7jm
You are right bro we must have to change education system. The government will have to put pressure on private schools to work on skill development also.
你說(shuō)得太對(duì)了,兄弟,句句戳心!教育系統(tǒng)非改不可,早就該動(dòng)大手術(shù)了。政府得給私立學(xué)校下死命令,逼他們也抓技能培養(yǎng),別光教書本那點(diǎn)死知識(shí)。
@shobhabalu-t3f
When India adopts self sustainability job opportunities are surplus. India is the only country which is a host to cross cultural heritage and tolerance to humans celebrating their religions.
啥時(shí)候印度能自給自足,工作機(jī)會(huì)就會(huì)多得冒泡!印度可是獨(dú)一份,啥文化遺產(chǎn)都能兼容并包,還能讓各路人馬歡天喜地慶祝自己的宗教。
@abhinavmanohare4227
Less jobs and illiteracy is creating dangerous situations in india. As per news most of the youth aged 18-22 are killing people for such small things like wifi, raincoat and what not. Just bcoz they hv a crunch in their pockets.
工作少得可憐,文盲又多,印度這個(gè)局面危險(xiǎn)得像火藥桶。據(jù)新聞報(bào)道,18-22歲的年輕人為WiFi、雨衣這些雞毛蒜皮的小破事兒就敢殺人,就因?yàn)槎道餂]幾個(gè)子兒,窮得叮當(dāng)響,日子過(guò)得太憋屈了。
@prakashtharwanimfinvestments
EDUCATION reform is the basic and common solution for it which need to get implemented ASAP with the help of big industries as per their required skill set. Which eventually solve both skill set and unemployment issue
教育改革是治本的路子,也是最普適的解藥,得立馬落實(shí)!得拉上大企業(yè),按他們要的技能套路配合著干。這么一來(lái),技能和失業(yè)兩大難題都能迎刃而解。
@novemberalpha6023
Unemployment and Religious Intolerance are the main cause of communal riots. BJP is directly and indirectly peddling both. Religious intolerance provides the reason while unemployment supplies the participants.
失業(yè)和宗教不容忍是社區(qū)騷亂的罪魁禍?zhǔn)?,而人民黨直接間接在這兩件事兒上推波助瀾。宗教不容忍給借口,失業(yè)送來(lái)一波又一波的參與者,導(dǎo)致亂局一發(fā)不可收拾。
@lucifermorningstar1636
Not trying to be Captain Obvious but I think this is the result of compounding of multiple combined factors over the years that have become visible now.
Irrespective of any political side, none of them took an effort to change the old ass education system that has existed in the country thanks to the Rockefeller approach, a nation of workers, like robots from a factory, every year. Adding to it, the current government, doesn’t matter the ideology, surgically killing off the MSMEs to hand over the sectors to the big players in it, leading to a monopoly-like state. Having 5-10 companies in the same field, trying to sell a similar product would be gladiator games, with the end winner being the economy(people), thanks to innovation, forced growth, competition, etc. 2-3 companies working in agreement with each other while killing all the other competitors will eventually breed complacency.
I think an immediate bandage approach would be to revitalize the MSMEs and also come up with laws against Monopoly-like approach (similar to US).
Then, forcefully implement laws against organisations, that they are supposed to help upskill a certain percentage of the workers, expense from the organisation’s pockets. Similar approach related to AI related damage as well.
But hey, who would give two shits anyway?
雖然不想把話說(shuō)得太直白,但這顯然是多年來(lái)多重因素疊加發(fā)酵后的必然結(jié)果。無(wú)論哪派執(zhí)政,都沒人真正改革那個(gè)早已過(guò)時(shí)的教育體系——這套源自洛克菲勒模式的制度,年復(fù)一年地批量生產(chǎn)著工廠機(jī)器人般的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化勞動(dòng)力。
更糟的是,當(dāng)前政府(與意識(shí)形態(tài)無(wú)關(guān))正系統(tǒng)性絞殺中小微企業(yè),將整個(gè)行業(yè)拱手送給巨頭,最終形成壟斷格局。想想看:5-10家同領(lǐng)域公司競(jìng)逐相似產(chǎn)品,本應(yīng)像角斗士博弈般通過(guò)創(chuàng)新和競(jìng)爭(zhēng)讓經(jīng)濟(jì)(人民)受益;但2-3家企業(yè)合謀扼殺競(jìng)爭(zhēng)者,只會(huì)滋生懈怠。
我認(rèn)為當(dāng)務(wù)之急是重振中小微企業(yè),并出臺(tái)反壟斷法(可參照美國(guó)模式)。同時(shí)強(qiáng)制立法要求企業(yè)必須自掏腰包為一定比例員工提供技能升級(jí)培訓(xùn),對(duì)AI造成的職業(yè)傷害也應(yīng)制定類似保障機(jī)制。
不過(guò)話說(shuō)回來(lái)——這些建議又有誰(shuí)會(huì)在乎呢?